Most mistakes happen between “I think this looks good” and “I just clicked buy.” This decision tree turns that gap into five clear steps you can follow in 10–15 minutes.

Step 1: Name the setup (in one sentence)
- Range (buy lower box, sell upper)
- Trend pullback (buy support on confirmation)
- Breakout–retest (enter after reclaim + hold)
- Event window (size down before macro/protocol dates)
If you can’t label it, you can’t manage it—wait.
Step 2: Convert the idea to numbers (the anti-FOMO step)
Fill a tiny card before you place any order:
- Entry (or DCA plan): ______
- Targets: +15% / +30% / +50%
- Sell-to-principal at T1 (qty): ______
- Break-even incl. fees: ______
- Hard stop (price/structure): ______
Run the math fast—break-even, scale-outs, sell-to-principal, ROI/DCA sims—with Bitcoin Profit Calculator so you trade your plan, not your mood.
Step 3: Route for lower friction (fees, depth, rails)
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Step 4: Execute with a two-switch rule
- Go/No-Go: Setup valid? Depth OK? No major event in 48–72h? If any yellow flag → half size or wait.
- Manage/Exit:
- Hit T1 → sell to recover 100% principal
- Hit T2 → trim 30–35%
- Hit T3 → trail the rest
- Break structure → exit (no moving the stop)
Keep it mechanical. Opinions can roam; rules should not.
Step 5: Thirty-second post-trade score (0/5)
- Stayed within risk cap (≤1–2%)
- Entered only on the written trigger
- Executed T1/T2/T3 exactly
- Honored stop (no widening)
- Logged the numbers
≤3/5? Cut size next trade. 4–5/5? Keep size; tweak one thing (targets, DCA cadence, or venue).
Copy-to-Notes: Pocket Card
- Setup: □ Range □ Pullback □ Breakout–Retest □ Event
- Entry: □ Lump-sum □ DCA ( ___ tranches)
- Targets +15 / +30 / +50 | Stop: ______
- Sell-to-principal @T1: ______ | Break-even (fees incl.): ______
- Depth/fees checked: □ | Event window: □ Clear □ Risky (half size)
Bottom line
You don’t need to predict the next candle—just standardize the path from idea to numbers to execution. When you label the setup, compute the plan, route for lower friction, follow a two-switch rule, and score yourself quickly, consistency shows up—and FOMO fades.



